Infatuation with the Young ‘Uns

The Hero attempted to define a sleeper in his last post.  In so doing, he again his exposed his tragic flaw: his love of prospects.  Sure, it is unlikely John Buck is the second coming of Mike Piazza, but he is a solid pickup that will help you in a few categories more than other catchers.

The Hero much prefers taking a risk on someone like Matt Wieters based purely on potential.  Risk/reward situations are what separate the winners and the losers in fantasy baseball.  Risk should be averted when possible while reward is maximized.  The sentiment is obvious.  But, when the reward is thought to be ridiculous and everyone has impossible expectations, fantasy players, including The Hero, get tempted and take risks that will very likely not pan out.

The point is, a player’s potential doesn’t matter in fantasy baseball.  All that matters is what he can do for you this season.  It doesn’t matter if you are in a keeper league, the goal is always to win the current season.  Worry about preparing for next year next year.  Or else be doomed to the perpetual existence of the Baltimore Orioles.

So while I am not arguing that Buck will be a top-5 catcher at the end of the year, I am saying if you are looking for a catcher right now, and are looking for a hot streak to ride, pick up Buck.  Once he starts slumping again, drop him and pick up the next streaking catcher.  By continually picking up the hot hand, you can solidify a position where you don’t have a great player and turn it into a strength.  And, as The Hero said, we have an idea that these guys can produce at the big league level.  Many of the young players will be out of baseball within the next year.  These guys will not.

And remember this post at the end of the year.  Compare the numbers of the veteran guys who get no love to the young guys who command attention in fantasy baseball.  Because in fantasy baseball, guys with identical numbers will have drastically different own percentages based on age, and not the numbers.

Winning by villainry takes more than simply taking advantage of others.  It takes a certain type of person to look at two players and coldly analyze the numbers while minimizing risk, and that type of person will often find himself at the top of fantasy baseball leagues.

I’ve got a really lazy example of multimedia today.  I Googled “Young Ones” and found out it is, in fact, a BBC comedy.  Who knew?  Anyways, watch it and see if you can relate it to fantasy baseball.  I had a few ideas, but decided to let you interpret it yourselves (sorry for turning this blog into high school english class, won’t happen again).

One response to this post.

  1. Posted by Ben on May 9, 2010 at 11:46 am

    Streaming catchers = not my favorite idea. Catchers, outside of the top few, are gonna do about what you expect from them. You draft Napoli or Soto or Doumit, you wait patiently, pretend that position doesn’t exist, and at the end of the year, 9 times out of 10, you’ll have the stats you wanted from that position.

    But yeah, totally with you on the keeper issue.


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