Posts Tagged ‘PItchers’

We Want A Pitcher…

Pitching might win championships somewhere, but not in fantasy baseball.

Pitching is less valuable than hitting in fantasy baseball.  It’s just unpredictable.  It’s why hitters are always ranked so much higher than pitchers.  Take Zack Greinke, for example.  He was the best pitcher in the American League last year and arguably the best pitcher in baseball.  Nearly 200 pitchers have a win this year.  Greinke is not among them.

At least Greinke has a decent ERA, WHIP and strikeout total.  Many pitchers who were supposed to have successful years have struggled thus far.

Verlander is a notoriously slow starter. His owners (I'm one of them) hope that this trend does not last all season.

Justin Verlander, Josh Beckett, Rich Harden, Jon Lester, Javier Vazquez, Cole Hamels and Chad Billingsley all have ERAs of 5+.  These “aces” and high round draft picks/auction budget-eaters have become category killers.  These were guys counted on by teams early on to stabilize pitching staffs.  It’s likely that some of these guys will turn it around.  Even so, at least a couple will not.  Age, unknown injuries and league switches are all potential reasons for pitchers falling off, but sometimes there are no reasons.  The art of pitching is mysterious.

The successful fantasy owner will get value hitting when he can, because pitching value is available on the waiver wire every year.  Justin Duchscherer, Dallas Braden, Fausto Carmona, Mike Pelfrey, Brad Penny, Carlos Silva and Doug Fister have all likely been on your waiver wire at some point this year or are on it now.  Sure, some of these players will not maintain the numbers they currently have all year (I’d bet Silva’s ERA goes above 2.00 at some point), but many will become quality fantasy starters that are far better than anyone you took in your draft/auction.

Pitching fluctuates year to year.  Rarely does it fluctuate at such a fixed rate as Josh Beckett, but no matter how good a pitcher is one year, he has a chance of being truly awful the next.  The same is not as true as a hitter.  Thus, when you have an option between a great pitcher and a great hitter, take the hitter every time.

Because tomorrow, your great hitter will likely be a great hitter.

And tomorrow, your great pitcher might implode.